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Global Daily: War-er for longer?

6 October 2026 6:53 RaboResearch

Monday saw Treasuries slump again, 10s up to 5.31% and 30s to 5.67%, the highest since early 2002, despite Trump easing red diesel usage limits and deferring related taxes to try to cushion the logistics and agri sectors. If we keep going like we have since February, we’ll soon have 20th century yields again, a shock for the generation who weren’t born in it and for elders who kept telling themselves “Lower for longer” would hold after the geopolitical consensus couldn’t. That’s obviously a huge problem for the US but, as usual, it’s proving a bigger problem for others.

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Marketing communication / Non-Independent Research. This publication is issued by Coöperatieve Rabobank U.A., registered in Amsterdam, and/or any one or more of its affiliates and related bodies corporate (jointly and individually: “Rabobank”). Coöperatieve Rabobank U.A. is authorised and regulated by De Nederlandsche Bank and the Netherlands Authority for the Financial Markets. Read more