Research

Rushing to Neutral

27 October 2026 11:41 RaboResearch

The Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) holds its policy rate meeting on October 28th to review the level of the Official Cash Rate (OCR). RaboResearch has previously projected the RBNZ to hold the OCR unchanged at the October meeting. We today revise our forecast to project a 25bp increase to take the OCR up to 3.00%. We now project the peak in the OCR cycle at 3.50%, to be reached in Q1 of 2027.

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Marketing communication / Non-Independent Research. This publication is issued by Coöperatieve Rabobank U.A., registered in Amsterdam, and/or any one or more of its affiliates and related bodies corporate (jointly and individually: “Rabobank”). Coöperatieve Rabobank U.A. is authorised and regulated by De Nederlandsche Bank and the Netherlands Authority for the Financial Markets. Read more