Corona crisis
United States The inevitable recession
A recession seems inevitable for the US: even if the economy is able to absorb the exogenous shocks to the supply side, the response of the central bank to the...
New Zealand: Two sides of the same coin
The economic effect of Omicron will be contained in Q1 before growth accelerates from Q2 onwards. However, higher prices and lower global growth, fuelled by the war in...
The Netherlands: Starting another year with a lockdown
The new lockdown measures in the Netherlands will mostly hit consumer spending. But consumer confidence was already in decline before these measures were announced.
Asia: Emerging Market Vulnerability Heatmap
Developing economies are more vulnerable to new virus strains due to lower vaccination coverage, slower pace of vaccination and the nature of their vaccines. Global...
New corona wave and high inflation dampen economic growth in 2022
We expect the Dutch economy to grow by 2.9 percent in 2022, lower than previously projected. This is due to stricter corona measures and higher than expected inflation.
Australia: Weighing the Work
On the one hand, we expect high labour demand and labour market scarcity to increase the likelihood of wage growth. On the other hand, this upside potential is being...