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ECB

The ECB hiked rates by 25bp. What's next?

The ECB raised the deposit facility rate by 25bp to 2.25%.

Research
11 June 2026
RaboResearch

ECB preview: A risk-management hike

The risks to inflation are becoming more skewed. We therefore expect that the ECB will hike the deposit rate to 2.25%.

Update
2 June 2026
RaboResearch

ECB preview: A risk-management hike

The risks to inflation are becoming more skewed. We therefore expect that the ECB will opt for a 25bp risk-management hike next week.

Update
2 June 2026
RaboResearch

ECB comment: June or never?

President Lagarde foreshadows a rate hike in June.

Update
30 April 2026
RaboResearch

Ceasefire gives the ECB some time to assess

With less urgency to act, an April hike is now unlikely. We shift our call for a rate hike to June.

Research
23 April 2026
RaboResearch

The ECB prepares a warning shot

Reality is increasingly shifting towards the ECB’s worse case scenarios, with elevated inflation unless the ECB acts. We pencil in a 25bp rate hike in April.

Update
19 March 2026
RaboResearch
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