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Geopolitics

Find economic insights and analysis on the latest geopolitical developments and their local and global implications.

Global Daily: Resigned

Brent crude front-month futures are inching higher this morning after ending May down almost 20%...

Newsletter
1 June 2026
RaboResearch

Global Daily: Strait Talk

Despite many false dawns, markets remain upbeat on prospects for peace between the United States and Iran...

Newsletter
28 May 2026
RaboResearch

Regime change at the Fed

Kevin Warsh is expected to be sworn in as the new Fed Chair today, relieving Jerome Powell from his duty as Chair pro tempore.

Research
22 May 2026
RaboResearch

Exclusive ❶ OPEC ❷ NOPEC ❸ Pecking O

The Iran war could plausibly foreshadow more fragmented energy markets, with split systems of defence, FX and swaplines, leaving middle powers in a difficult position.

Research
18 May 2026
RaboResearch

Global Daily: Back to the Well

Hormuz diary, day 79. The strait remains functionally closed and global crude and refined product stocks are rapidly drawing down...

Newsletter
18 May 2026
RaboResearch

Remaking the world economy: America Perestroika and global trade

Join RaboResearch Senior Market Strategist Ben Picton and Global Strategist Michael Every as they unpack the rapid changes that are underway in the global economic system

Podcast
13 May 2026
RaboResearch

Global Daily: Massive Life Support

“On massive life support” was Donald Trump’s characterisation of the US-Iran ceasefire yesterday...

Newsletter
12 May 2026
RaboResearch

Up and down we go

Oil markets are experiencing extreme volatility, reacting to every new – often conflicting – signal from the White House on the war’s outcome.

Newsletter
8 May 2026
RaboResearch

Global Daily: The Little Red Hen

Markets are bulled-up this morning on prospects for peace in the Iran war. The S&P500 and NASDAQ closed at fresh all-time highs...

Newsletter
7 May 2026
RaboResearch

Global Daily: Give Peace a Chance

It was TACO Tuesday again in the United States this week as President Trump announced that he was pausing Operation Freedom “for a short period”...

Newsletter
6 May 2026
RaboResearch

Governor Powell

As widely expected, the FOMC remained on hold.

Research
30 April 2026
RaboResearch

Australian farmland price outlook 2026: Growth of farmland values expected to ease amid tight on-farm margins

Outlook for Australian farmland values shows stabilisation in 2025 and a shift to moderated growth, with grazing gains, softer arable prices and low single-digit growth.

Research
29 April 2026
RaboResearch
Geopolitics - Rabobank