Peru
Mixed signals on economic activity
IBC-Br points to a modest acceleration in economic activity in May, but the outlook remains weak for the rest of the year. In May, the IBC-Br—a monthly proxy for Brazil
Between Signals and Flexibility: the Central Bank’s Communication in F
Domestically, both the Copom Minutes and the Quarterly Inflation Report (RPM) highlighted an asymmetrically upside-skewed inflation risk balance and suggested a declining
External “hawk”, Brazil “dove”
Externally, in the U.S., the FOMC kept interest rates unchanged (3.50%–3.75%), removed forward guidance, and signaled a more hawkish stance amid persistent uncertainty,
The U.S. and Iran reached a provisional agreement
Externally, over the weekend, the U.S. and Iran reached a provisional agreement to reopen the Strait of Hormuz and move toward ending the conflict.
Exclusive Risks persist despite fragile ceasefire
Domestically, March’s IPCA printed above all expectations, already incorporating some of the Middle East pass-through. Externally, the US and Iran agreed a two-week cea
Exclusive Buying time
Externally, the U.S.–Iran conflict has now reached the one‑month mark with no concrete progress, heightening global uncertainty and raising risks for inflation and fina