China’s pork supply chain emissions set to decline: Improved productivity will drive change

We believe that emissions reductions in the pork supply chain will outpace national goals. We developed three emissions reduction scenarios related to changes in farming structure and efficiency improvements leading up to 2030. In these three projections, GHG emissions in the pork supply chain should decline by 5%, 20%, and 35%, respectively, by 2030 compared to 2022 levels. Based on what is currently happening in farm restructuring and technology development and adoption, we expect a 20% reduction to be the most likely scenario. This will outperform China’s national goal of reaching carbon peak by 2030.