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Global Daily: Without Me

13 January 2025 3:56 RaboResearch

US non-farm payrolls shocked the market on Friday with new hiring in the month printing at +256,000 versus a median estimate of +165,000 on the Bloomberg survey. The unemployment rate fell 1-tick to 4.1% and the underemployment rate (the U6 rate) fell from 7.8% to 7.5%, which is the lowest reading since June. The participation rate remained unchanged at 65.1% and the net two-month revision was a fairly minor -8,000. Growth in average hourly earnings was a touch below expectations at 3.9% year-on-year while manufacturing payrolls fell slightly to illustrate our point from last week that the renaissance in US factory construction is yet to bear fruit in the employment figures.

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Marketing communication / Non-Independent Research. This publication is issued by Coöperatieve Rabobank U.A., registered in Amsterdam, and/or any one or more of its affiliates and related bodies corporate (jointly and individually: “Rabobank”). Coöperatieve Rabobank U.A. is authorised and regulated by De Nederlandsche Bank and the Netherlands Authority for the Financial Markets. Read more