Update

Can a new prime minister resolve the French budget deadlock?

9 October 2025 17:24 RaboResearch

After French Prime Minister Lecornu resigned on Monday, President Macron asked him to find a way forward with the opposition parties. The outgoing prime minister concluded that it is still possible to reach an agreement on the 2026 budget. President Macron will appoint a new prime minister in the next two days. This reduces the political uncertainty of potential elections. It may thus lower French risk premia in the near term. But the 2026 budget is still unfinished, and the necessary compromises could come at the cost of debt sustainability.

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Marketing communication / Non-Independent Research. This publication is issued by Coöperatieve Rabobank U.A., registered in Amsterdam, and/or any one or more of its affiliates and related bodies corporate (jointly and individually: “Rabobank”). Coöperatieve Rabobank U.A. is authorised and regulated by De Nederlandsche Bank and the Netherlands Authority for the Financial Markets. Read more