Global aquaculture outlook 2026

Global aquaculture production is expected to slow in 2026 after a strong performance in 2025, with growth moderating across several key species. Softer demand, particularly in the US, combined with persistent inflation and geopolitical tensions, may dampen production incentives. Feed prices are anticipated to partially stabilize; however, ongoing volatility in key inputs driven by weather conditions and trade dynamics may limit cost relief for some producers.

Among major species, carps are projected to lead with 6% year-over-year growth. In Europe, Atlantic salmon is expected to grow by 2%, reflecting a normalization after strong gains in 2025, while sea bass and sea bream are forecast to accelerate to 4% growth amid improving production conditions. Global shrimp production is set to expand by 3%, entering a phase of more gradual growth. However, regional disparities persist, with Ecuador continuing to drive the majority of global output.