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We don’t see any reason for the ECB to change its policy at this month’s meeting. Neither does the market. Another hold will probably cement the markets’ view that the cutting cycle is over, but we do not expect Lagarde to explicitly confirm this. She will probably repeat her “good place” analogy, adding that the ECB will stay vigilant to both upside and downside risks.
Marketing communication / Non-Independent Research. This publication is issued by Coöperatieve Rabobank U.A., registered in Amsterdam, and/or any one or more of its affiliates and related bodies corporate (jointly and individually: “Rabobank”). Coöperatieve Rabobank U.A. is authorised and regulated by De Nederlandsche Bank and the Netherlands Authority for the Financial Markets. Read more
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