Opinion

The Agri-food Sector’s Current Challenge

16 March 2026 7:00

The agri-food sector is facing major challenges. Although emissions to air, soil, and water have fallen in recent decades, the sector still exceeds ecological limits. There are also challenges due to developments beyond our national borders, with strategic autonomy and food system resilience playing an increasingly important role. In any event, we must use innovation, extensification, conversion, and relocation if we are to meet all the targets.

Melkveehouder

In brief

    Although emissions of harmful gases and waste have fallen, it remains a problem that we are continuing to exceed ecological limits. Future reduction objectives demand innovation, extensification, and nature-friendly farming. Strategic autonomy and food security are receiving increased attention due to geopolitical and climate risks. Innovation reduces emissions and opens new markets and revenue models. Extra support is needed for some innovations in order to realize True Value.

In the current economic model, ecology and other elements of broad prosperity are not yet sufficiently incorporated in the sector’s dominant business models. As a result, these models mainly focus on minimizing costs, even if this is at the expense of broad prosperity, including ecology.

Working Within Ecological Limits

Agriculture and horticulture place relatively high demands on the available environmental space. This is the amount of space that human activities can occupy without permanently impacting the environment.

The environmental space can roughly be divided into air, water, soil, and biodiversity. With respect to air, this mainly concerns the emission of greenhouse gases, nitrogen, and particulate matter. Fertilizer and pesticide runoff impacts water quality, while irrigation decreases the availability of water. In turn, these emissions and extractions impact the soil, including its structure, composition, and ecosystem. Soil compaction is also a major concern as this has a negative impact on crop yields, water balance, and the soil ecosystem. Finally, all these pressures also impact biodiversity: The quality of the environment and landscape is influenced and determined by air, soil, and water quality.

Goals Demand Measures

Dutch agriculture and horticulture emissions have decreased significantly over the past decade. Moreover, nature-friendly farming is making a cautious upswing. Yet there is still a lot to be done: Future policy specifies a further 20 - 40 per cent reduction in emissions over the next five to ten years. Achieving these goals will require a combination of management measures, innovation, extensification, and a further expansion of nature-friendly agriculture and horticulture. For agriculture entrepreneurs, this means that we are anticipating three dominant farm types in the future: Highly productive or high-tech, nature-friendly, and multifunctional agricultural companies. Read more background and analysis regarding the pressures on the environmental space in our article Agricultural transition: Shrinking environmental space demands further adjustments (only available in Dutch: Landbouwtransitie: de krimpende milieugebruiksruimte vraagt verdere aanpassingen).

Strategic Autonomy, Food Security, and Resilience

In an uncertain world, it is becoming increasingly important that the Netherlands and the European Union’s food production and supply are independent and sustainable. Climate change also raises the question of what we will be able to produce and where.

It is important that the European Union aims to reduce its dependence on imports from outside the union.

The Dutch government recognizes this and states that policy should contribute to maintaining production capacity, protecting critical chains, and creating space for innovation and sustainability, especially at European level. Rabobank supports this direction. It is important that Europe reduces its dependence on imports from outside the EU, for products such as soya, fertilizer, and natural gas. At the same time, it is important that the EU ensures sufficient local production capacity, including agricultural land. This is essential in the context of more extensive production in a sustainable system.

The Challenge of a Healthier Supply

One of the biggest food system challenges is consumer health. According to the Nederlands Huisartsen Genootschap (Dutch GP Society), the annual healthcare costs resulting from unhealthy diets amount to around €6 billion. Combined with an increasingly ageing population, this is no longer viable in the long term.

The task for food producers is clear here: Work toward a healthier supply. This can be done by making existing products healthier, such as by reducing sugar, salt, and unhealthy fats. Increasing consumer knowledge and awareness is also just as important. Clear information on packaging, reliable certification labels, and smart incentives can help people make healthier choices.

Cooperation between the food and healthcare sectors is crucial.

There is also an opportunity for systematic integration of food education within primary and secondary education, to ensure that the next generations grow up with the knowledge to make healthier and more sustainable choices.

Cooperation between the food and healthcare sectors is also crucial. Offering healthier foods can help reduce future healthcare costs. We also expect the government to take a more proactive role in promoting healthy eating, for example through VAT reductions, excise taxes, or other measures. Of course, this presents opportunities for agricultural sectors that wish to capitalize on this trend.

Innovation: A Key Actor in Many Areas

The Netherlands is a global agricultural innovation leader. We need to protect and capitalize on that lead. From precision farming to using satellite data, from variable rate application techniques to automation, and from digital platforms to innovative management practices: Innovation is essential for sustainable and resilient Dutch agriculture and horticulture sectors. Innovative management practices are already being widely implemented, including Renure, ammonia scrubbers, Lely Sphere, and low-protein feed.

Sometimes innovation leads directly to improved sustainability, for example, by reducing the use of chemical pesticides, energy consumption, or emissions. In other cases, innovation opens the door to entirely new markets, products, and revenue models. For example, alternative proteins or new concepts and chains, such as Edamame or Lupin chains. Innovation can also reduce the standard production cost price and increase the agricultural companies’ efficiency and resilience, for example via automation, robotization, data, and artificial intelligence.

If useful innovations are not cost-effective, the government and industry stakeholders must step in to help.

Entrepreneurs are unable to recoup the costs of some of the necessary innovations in the market, even though these innovations are in the public interest. It is important that the government and industry stakeholders are involved in such innovations so we can increase True Value and reward entrepreneurs. In general, innovations require cooperation among stakeholders to facilitate their validation, licensing, and funding.

Our Contribution

Rabobank Helps Develop Concrete Tools for Customers

We developed the Horti Environmental Scan (HES) for greenhouse horticulture and the FutureScan for dairy farmers. These tools provide entrepreneurs with insight of the various sustainability measures they can use.

Rabobank is also supporting a wide range of initiatives that accelerate sustainable progress in the agri-food chain. For example, the SME Sustainability Contribution was recently expanded to enable agriculture entrepreneurs who have sustainability plans to also apply for a one-off grant to fund a sustainable investment The on-site battery scan and the Rabo Monomestvergisting Scan (manure fermentation scan) enable us to help business owners invest in emission reduction and energy storage.

Via customer programs, we are also cooperating with companies including McDonald’s and Nestlé to improve supply chains and promote sustainability, and via the Praktijkaanpak Emissiearme Veehouderij (Practical Approach to Low-Emission Livestock Farming), we provide a direct boost to innovation in the sector.

These initiatives provide a comprehensive and concrete impression of our commitment to helping customers build a future-proof business.